@Frederick:
@royalcrown89:
It ain't over til it's over, but I think this may be the end. ObamaCare is most likely here to stay :cheers:
http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/342447-two-more-gop-senators-defect-on-healthcare-bill
I personally think you may be correct, but I don't think you get the implications.
Obamacare is a massive failure and doomed to collapse completely. It is already "terminally ill".
The assumption was that the republicans would come up with a replacement plan.. but frankly, there is no plan that is going to make people happy. The underlying reason for that is whenever something is insured, the cost increase to take advantage of the insurance payouts - making it virtually impossible for anybody without insurance to get healthcare. A simple example of this is with cars. The costs for auto repairs are completely different when paid "out of pocket" vs paid "by insurance".
So, there is no magical health care plan that is going to work.
The democrats have no plan to fix Obamacare.
The republican plan won't work either.
Many republicans would rather just let Obamacare collapse and not offer another healthcare plan.
Socialized medicine only works in countries such as Cuba.. where health care costs are very low. Doctors work for low wages, and it is next to impossible to sue a doctor for malpractice. It's like that old lesbian expression: "You can't eat Kate and Edith too!"
So, the choices are:
Repeal Obamacare - resulting in going back to pre-Obama healthcare.
Repeal and replace Obamacare - resulting in temporarily offering a republican version of healthcare which will also fail - which eventually results in going back to pre-Obama healthcare.
Doing nothing - resulting in Obamacare's inevitable collapse - with nothing to replace it other than returning to pre-Obama healthcare.
Politically, don't forget that Trump is not really a republican. He's not in bed with any political machine.
The end result:
Healthcare will return to pre-Obama healthcare
Republicans will lose control of congress, however Trump will get his tax cut in his first term.
Trump will win re-election in 2020.. and during those 8 years, he will pack the Supreme Court with conservative judges which will last for decades. (Goodbye "Roe vs Wade")
The economy will do extremely well due to Trump, and when it comes down to it.. people care more about the economy when they go to the voting booths more than anything else.
In Trump's second term, I doubt he will be able to get any meaningful legislation out of congress. Congress might come up with some lame democrat backed healthcare bill, but Trump will just veto it.
The losers - the democrat party, the republican party, people with health problems, women who want abortions
The winners - Trump, the economy, healthy people, people with money to invest, workers
This message is unusual for me in that it is my OPINION instead of irrefutable facts.
I am very interested to see any other opinions.
The only other opinion I see so far is RoyalCrown seeking to retain Obamacare - but I would then ask RC if he thinks Obamacare can work without being revised. Obamacare is going down like the Titanic - and THAT is not an opinion.
Actually, this message is unusual for you because (1) you actually stayed on message without massive deflection and (2) you actually remained civil. Thank you Frederick. Please, more responses like this. This is truly unprecedented. You stated your opinion and defended it without a single childish name.
I disagree heavily with what this means. Needing to do something, I believe Republicans will either announce they will work with Democrats to fix the problems with the ACA or they will try to move on (as you said) to giving rich people the tax cuts they want. The problem with the latter is that Republicans burned their political capital (which wasn't much) on this ACA repeal effort. The pressure from those who do not want to see the wealthy receive huge tax cuts plus the fact that our president has no credibility will stomp out any effort to pass tax reform to benefit the wealthy. This failed and that will fail also. This is what happens when a president wins with a flimsy 77,000 spread across three state electoral victory. There are more than 77,000 people who DID NOT vote who DO NOT want this president or anything he is about. He could help by staying far, far away from anything the Republicans want to do. You're right, he is not a republican but the (R) beside his name and the fact that he ran for their ticket and won is bringing their party down. Those special elections they won won't mean anything when Virginia and New Jersey vote for their statewide officials this year. Those upcoming Democratic victories will make a big difference later this year.