The polls are very accurate when tracking his support because notice how many protests against him pop up after he makes one statement either on camera or on Twitter. The right try to claim these protests are paid and made up, but I've been to a handful and they really are grassroots movements. He is the most unpopular president this early on in a presidency that we've had for a while. It's only going to go downhill from here unless something happens to show off his leadership skills. Presidents with sinking numbers need a rallying effect or their presidency will crumble. His win wasn't really as historic as he claims. 77,000 people spread across three states is not a historic or overwhelming win. It means the country is so divided and so many people tuned out and didn't vote so 77,000 people in three separate states determined the results and that there are many, many other people who DID NOT vote who DO NOT want him as president. That's a huge problem and the poll numbers reflect just how true it is. The worse he gets, the more he will motivate people to turn out to vote against him and his agenda. If you do research on what happened in 2006, you'll see a lot of similar instances comparable to what's happening right now.