USA polls don't mean shit, either way. Here's why.
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First - President Trump is ahead:
HOWEVER - I'd write same if he weren't.
Most USA polls oversample Dems - on purpose.
They did it in 2016, 2020 & today.
They do it, to provide cover or "plausible deniability" for Dem cheat.
In 2016, Dems knew they were behind & cheated - but not enough.
In 2020, Dems knew they were behind & pulled out all stops - Millions of unlawful votes, possibly tens.
Today - Story being written.
All those Dem false "We're ahead!!!!!" polls provide cover.
Pollsters still publish "internals" - data details - which always show big swings to Trump, bad for Dems.
Pollsters get to "headline" result - Dems ahead - by over-weighting Dems in their final, headline calculation.
Except of course, if Dems will cheat huge - if their cheating must be factored - then, is it over-weighting? or realism? You decide.
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FYI, even Fox has long history of over-sample Dems.
Again - if you know Dems will cheat big - if you know Dem real votes count for 1.2x or 1.5x extra - maybe it's just realism?
Here, Fox shows Trump ahead, 51-43 - but it's among Independents alone.
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Somebody took "internals" for specific poll, NYT in Pennsylvania, and compared their numbers for 2020 vs. today.
1 example where "internals" (sub headline details) show Trump strength.
In 2024, Trump in PA runs way ahead of himself among non-Whites & young people, and, to less extent, even among women. Only 30-44 age group does care that Kamabla has necklace & cunt.
You can still get headline result where Kamabla wins....if you overweight Dems.
Again - USA election comes down to, whether Dems will cheat enough to justify their overweights in polls?
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@blablarg18 Fingering your pussy to Rudy Giuiliani porn?
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......Cracked Dry Pussy Retard @jaroonn said to mirror
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More on USA polls overweight Dems, to fake Kamabla "lead"
“They're saying the Biden 2020 voters should be [weighted] four or five points higher [than they appeared in 2020 results]. It's ridiculous."
But again - IF Dem cheating & fraud in 2024, can out-do Dem cheating & fraud of 2020 - Isn't it mere realism?
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"Kamala Harris is doing worse off in the polls than both Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton when they faced Donald Trump"
Kamabla has small lead. Smaller than Hillary's at this point. & Crashing favorability. Trump set to out-perform, again.
Which comes back to my main point: USA polls really don't mean shit.
When USA People "vote harder" for President Trump....... USA Regime "cheats harder"
Remember that. Watch all polls with reserve.They're slightly interesting..... that's all.
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Poll puts President Trump "up" 3 - 5 points. But again....
https://www.the-express.com/news/politics/147691/donald-trump-leads-battleground-states-poll
...but again, USA polls don't mean shit.
Because
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Regime steals elections
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Polls are there to make Regime candidate look plausible enough, that Regime media can lie, when Regime steals elections
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Satire. But let's HOPE some libs buy it.
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JD explains "online panels".
video - https://x.com/i/status/1836531885935104167
"online" here might not mean Internet, but more that same, highly motivated people are always available / on panels.
As in, same motivated libs.
Why would lib media skew its polls like that?
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I say, to make Dem cheating look plausible
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but JD says, to suppress non-Dem turnout, "Oh it's no use, we lost already."
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"Democrats fear pollsters are undercounting Trump"
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4891637-democratic-lawmakers-worry-pollsters/
Penny drops.
“Polling has really been seriously damaged since 2016. And that’s one of the truths, is that Trump is going to be tough in Pennsylvania, and that’s absolutely the truth,” Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) said when asked whether he’s worried pollsters may be undercounting Trump’s support in his home state.
Dems need to cheat.
Public / media polls - that WAY exaggerate libs - are there to cover Dem cheat, make cheat look halfway plausible.
Dems internal polls, show President Trump ahead.
What if GA, PA or AZ changes rules & Dems can't cheat enough?
Or what if Muslims counter-act Haitians & deliver MI to Trump?
Dems can't sleep.
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Example 10 million, where "internal polling" is different from public poll.
"MI Dem Senate Candidate Warns Internal Polling Shows Kamala ‘Underwater’ In State"
Kids, why would internal differ from public? Ever?
You know why.
Because public is faked, to give Dem better headlines.
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Reliable polls have Trump +6 on "not recalled" data.
What is "recalled" data? When they add in 2020 Dem cheat factor.
It's all about 2024 Dem cheat factor..... will it be bigger? smaller? same?
In 2016, Dems cheated BUT not enough, so President Trump got through.
USA Regime thought, it's all good, their "Russia Russia Russia" hoax "insurance policy" will force Trump to resign, followed by, say, Pence-McCain dependent on Regime.
But it didnt turn out. So in 2020 they cheated bigger, enough to see, made USA worldwide joke.
In 2024 they turn to assassination. 2 attempts - that we know of. More to come.
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Referenced by B blablarg18
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Scorecard below is probably self-interested, since Atlas made it.
Still, Atlas made it with.... you know.... -data-.
And for years, Rasmussen has been more accurate than the rest.
It makes sense, to see Rasmussen in Top 2 spot. & NYT down
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Plouffe admits, Kamabla was never ahead.
He admits public & "internal" polls are different.
But he still pretends that WHY, is mystery.
Smart people know WHY. (see earlier comments)
Kamabla lost, because "Late Night Ballot Dumps", of Dem 2020 cheat, did not show up for her.
Why "Late Night Ballot Dumps" did not show up for her, in 2024, is the interesting question.
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one relief is that 4 years from now.. we don't have to pay attention to this stupid polls.. and the so-called experts who said that Kam-bama would not only win, but win in a landslide have been discredited.
On the departure front... looks like we might be rid of Degeneres, Deniro, Springstein, and maybe Oprah. It would be nice to be done with Streisand too. Reiner will never leave the mental hospital.
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@lololulu19 Don't count on it.
Even now, in another thread, someone says, Only believe the experts.
Lib is a religion, and "discredited" is in eye of beholder.
btw.... I wondered if you were joking about poor Rob.... but you're real:
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"Gold standard" Iowa pollster lets slip, polls can be fake. J Ann Selzer
video - https://x.com/i/status/1868144823909110057
She denies wrongdoing, BUT, she lets out:
the idea that I intentionally set up to deliver this [krazy-bad poll] when I've never done that before, I've had plenty of opportunities to do it.
Opportunities for what, Ann?
@zullu & @jaroonn cited her Iowa poll, in https://community.gaytorrent.ru/topic/66338/breaking-harris-has-overtaken-trump-in-michigan/
She was 17 points off.
Some coverage in November, claimed
- she planned to retire
- she took a large payout from some lib. Kamabla campaign? I forget
Hypothetically, why might Kamabla pay her to do bad poll?
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if "Dem cheat" had showed up - ballot dumps, late at night, mysterious, 2020-style - then her poll would have been "correct"
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in any case, her poll gave Kamabla last-minute (but undeserved) boost of morale & headlines. Boost one side, suppress other side.
here at 7:04, MSNBC admits she was 17 points off.